AAP and Kejriwaal peeled and judged basis Charlie Munger's mental models.
I normally don't write on politics,
although it is a breeding ground for human misjudgement and
psychological and cognitive biases. All the topics of my interest.
The reason I don't write on this is because in India political debate
was long dead.
I mean what do you write about, at one
spectrum we have a party which is run by G family. I mean would you
believe the heights of anarchy, just freaking 1 family ruling the
roost for the last 6 decades. Its a shame we call ourselves a
democracy. They are just passing the baton, some kind of relay race
happening. From father to daughter to son to wife( pseudo sardar at
helm) to son again.... and the story continues. Once you rule for
4-5 decades, a positive loop (for them at least) starts taking shape.
You have accumulated wealth with your hard work (corruption) and then
that money is used to win the next round of elections which gives you
next 5 years to fill the coffers. It starts growing like compound
interest and before you know you are way ahead from your saffron
colour counterparts. I don't care what good they have done, if at
all. The bottom line is that they are hierarchical family run
business. People should give them a chance only if they get rid of
the G tag which by the way can never happen. Congress without G will
break into 5 factions. Anyways....
On the other spectrum we have a party
which got so tangled in their religion that they cannot cleanse the
saffron spots now. Its not easy to erase your upbringing and origins.
Ask me, after my schooling, I had to unlearn a 1000 things before i
was ready to learn anything. BJP/jan sangh/shiv sena all originated
as a hindu protector organizations. They were fundamentalists and
extremists too.
Make no mistake that was the need of
the hour at that time and they have a place in history (in good books
that is). Its is a general axiom of life that minorities will always
be extremists. The survival instinct ensures that you will be over
cautious, over protective, aggressive and fundamentalists if you are
outnumbered.
I can give you an example, crack a joke on waheguru, hanuman or Ram and allah, post it on your twitter and facebook handle. You will receive death threats from Sikhs and Muslims only.
And when that kind of extremist behaviour starts getting ugly and starts receiving outside support, you need the majority fundamentalist outfits to restore the balance so to speak. So they have a place definitely, but they should not rule a country I am afraid.
With the exception of Mr Vajpayee, no
member of BJP can be termed secular. And sachin tendulkar alone
cannot win you a world cup. Vote for BJP if they can get rid of its origins and ties with all fundamentalist and extremist outfits.
NOW THE AAP.
Got the fancy of the world, took everybody in their stride, originated out of a protest, filled the perfect void created by 02 nincompoop national parties. The whole agenda became a wave, amazing and unprecedented mass movement. Kind of Indian version of the French revolution. David Vs. goliath and the underdog sprung a surprise and boy KEJRIWAL IS THE HONEST CM OF NEW DELHI,
Really!!!
So I asked my self am I a cynical
person by nature or is there a genuine reason why I am not in the
mass hysterical movement of these idiots.
Thanks to Charlie Munger, I have
developed a very cynical mind when it comes to taking decisions of
life. This has held me in good stead so far and it stands the test of
time. Mr Munger basically suggests to judge a thing from 5-6
different vantage points. If you just have 01 way of thinking, you
will suffer from a man with a hammer syndrome (for such a man, every
problem is a nail) and he cannot see the bigger picture.
So the picture that everybody is seeing is that honest AAM aadmi is trying to bring about a change for better.
I don't see that picture because I have 04 different vantage points.
Point #1. Humility and Integrity History has it that achievers always under commit and over deliver. Idiots do the opposite. Murthy of Infosys would always downplay the results and surprise on the positive side, whereas mukesh ambani would always boast of turnarounds every quarter which never materialize.
Mr
Kejriwal falls in that category, he has promised the moon, now only
regret can come out of the whole equation.
Strong
commitments from which he has backtracked are, 'We will never join
politics' 'I have no intention to become the CM of Delhi'. 'I swear
on my kids that I won't join hands with congress'. Who on freaking
melodramatic earth swears on his kids.
Point#
2 Corruption:
Well all the freaking jokers who are supporting and shouting anti corruption slogans are knee deep in it. I have already written a blog on that so without reiterating myself I just have 01 thing to say. Where do you think the free water he has promised is coming from. And who do you think has benefitted from the free water fiasco.
That free water is costing Rs.163 crore per month to the state exchequer. (which you will pay via taxes). Misusing chief minister's office for political gain is biggest form of corruption".
Point
# 3. Socialism.
The
only system that I know works is capitalism. It has flaws, no doubt
about it, huge flaws but at least IT WORKS. History
has it that fascism (hitler's germany, Mussolini's Italy and Japan of
1940s), socialism (USSR, east germany, Hungary,poland,romania,
Ethiopia, yugoslavia) have all CRUMBLED under the weight of their
own MORALS.
Arvind
Kejriwal is a socialist. You don't need a degree in fuel engineering
to figure it out. Free water, free electricity, BAN FDI. All these
dharnas and morchas and trade unions and chaka jaams. This son of
b*&ch is turning New Delhi into a west bengal.
The only thing that is ever achieved by a dharna and shit is “Productivity loss”. Think about it. Who can actually go sit on a dharna for 5 days. You have to be UNEMPLOYED, redundant, unproductive waste of society to participate in such an act. And what about the loss to exchequer every time you go out to prove a point.
Point
#4. AGENDA
My brother Rajiv Dhawan (Visionary that he is) stuck his neck out and predicted back in LOKPAL dharna days that Kejriwal has ambitions to be a CM. No body believed him and people ridiculed him( except me obviously) coz they said KEJRIWAL JI ne khud kaha hai, he has no intention to join POLITICS.
And boy was he right. Now CM seat is not enough, Kejriwal wants to be a PM. He and his party are looking to exploit every opportunity to hog the limelight and create a nation wide ruckus. He is praying for a big ticket event that catches the fancy of the world again. A nirbhaya like horrifying act, a serious corruption charge, a national shame or some catastrophe that can be cashed in at a national level.
Elections are in 2014, the desperation has reached such level that they are fabricating issues now, targeting POLICE (easy target actually, just like corruption) (it is a thankless job and everybody hates them)
Be rest assured AAP will strike again, they have to. Correcting Delhi was never their AGENDA, they have tasted blood and they want a national presence.
I hope the law of diminishing returns catch up with AAP and every corresponding dharna gets lesser and lesser audience. I also hope the public realizes that they are being played yet again.
But I know I am hoping 2 much and as they say “PEOPLE get what they deserve”.
Disclaimer: I will be voting for BJP this election. Choosing the lesser evil. Judge by actions, not by speech. Modi has turned around Gujrat into a model state and u know my views about the rest.
